Tuesday, August 2, 2011

5.0 Truth and Reality


I have a presentation in the form of a Powerpoint Chart called 'The Truth - Confidence Chart'. It has a horizontal axis upon which the strength of evidence is scaled (-ve being contrary, zero, none and positive an increasing number of favorable observations). The vertical scale is confidence down being negative and decreasing confidence, up goes to 100% being total confidence.. (I also include the possibility of greater than 100% being over confident). On the chart I plot a 'normal' curve from very small evidence and low confidence to very high evidence and accordingly high confidence. Being asymptotic to two axes at right angles it approximates a hyperbola.. but I do not go as far as to put any 'formula' on it.

Science by definition operates in the low evidence low confidence regime.. ie in its investigative stage (which I would argue is its normal state). By the time theories get established and the favorable observations are high and the confidence is correspondingly high you are in to the realm of Engineering not science. I would also go as far as to say that by the time some piece of 'knowledge' is at the stage of being independently verified and has no contrary observations it would be called 'truth'. Since we will never know 'absolute truth' there will always be some uncertainty however small. Newtons equations of motion reached this point.. perfectly acceptable as 'true' but turned out not to be the end point of the inquiry. That is they were not complete even though reliable within the human experience of velocity.

So I identify at least two types of truth..
1. Absolute truth (not attainable)
2. General truth (independently verified knowledge)

The latter is clearly the stuff of science and engineering but what other kinds of truth are there.?

I set out a by telling some of my story.. its perfectly true, but I could not verify it to anyone else.. so lets call that..
3. Personal truth (verified by personal experience but only to myself)

Is there any other class of truth.? You may have heard the term 'Deep Time'.. referring to the pre-history of the universe before we existed, (14 billion years according to Big Bang theory). Something totally outside human experience.. not open to direct measurement. I want to introduce the concept of 'Deep Truth', also meaning truth not open to direct verification.. next time.

Have a nice day

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